NISAR Vision Bulletin — Rafsanjan (Iran) — 2026-10-21

Atlas Rank #8 · Coverage: ok · 9 pairs
CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM PROVISIONAL All Bulletins
Product IDNP-RAFSANJAN-2026-001
Issue Time (UTC)2026-11-15 15:42 UTC
Data Window2026-06-23 to 2026-10-21
SensorNISAR L-band GUNW, provisional
Quality ClassPROVISIONAL
ConfidenceMEDIUM
Versionv2.0
FormatA4 Operational Map Package
Peak Cumulative (LOS)
-5.8 cm
Vertical Est. (38.4°)
-7.4 cm
3-Ref Sensitivity
[-5.8, -3.5] cm LOS
Rate (cm / 100 days)
-4.8 cm/100d
Annualized est.: -10.7 cm/yr

Latest Pair & Cumulative Summary

  • Latest Consecutive Pair Step: -1.03 cm LOS (2026-10-09 to 2026-10-21 at p01: 30.523N 55.774E; cumulative at point: -5.76 cm)
  • Affected Population (GHSL GHS-POP E2025, 108d eq., ≥ 0.66 cm 2σ): 2,367 residents (< -2 cm), 10 residents across 0.38 km² (< -5 cm).

Top 3 Most-Subsiding Areas

Rank1 km Block Center (Lat, Lon)Cumulative LOSRate
#130.5232, 55.7738-3.50 cm-2.92 cm/100d
#230.5700, 55.7624-3.39 cm-2.83 cm/100d
#330.4113, 55.8510-3.02 cm-2.52 cm/100d

Top 5 At-Risk Infrastructure Segments

Infrastructure corridor ranking (OSM canal/road overlay) has not been computed for this regional subset yet.

GNSS Comparison & Calibration Status

Continuous GNSS time-series validation was not bundled for this regional subset.

Cumulative Displacement Map

Cumulative LOS displacement map for Rafsanjan (Iran) ending 2026-10-21
Cumulative LOS displacement (2026-06-23 to 2026-10-21, 9 NISAR L2 GUNW pairs).

What This Means

  • Ground in Rafsanjan (Iran) subsided up to -5.8 cm LOS (-4.8 cm/100d) between 2026-06-23 and 2026-10-21, consistent with active seasonal compaction.
  • About 2,367 residents live on ground sinking faster than 2 cm per 108 days (and 10 residents across 0.38 km2 faster than 5 cm per 108 days, above the 0.66 cm 2-sigma noise floor).
  • No local GNSS or canal-tilt overlay is bundled for this subset; field inspection and local piezometer records are needed to confirm infrastructure impacts.
Calibration & Quality Notice (PROVISIONAL): NISAR data are provisional. Calibration and validation are carried out by the NISAR project (NASA-JPL and ISRO), not by our team.
Sources: NASA-ISRO NISAR L2 GUNW (CRID P05023 via ASF DAAC); GHSL GHS-POP E2025 R2023A (JRC, CC BY 4.0); Nevada Geodetic Laboratory GNSS; OpenStreetMap (ODbL).