NISAR Vision Bulletin — Lagos — 2026-10-10

Atlas Rank #13 · Coverage: ok · 8 pairs
CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM PROVISIONAL All Bulletins
Product IDNP-LAGOS-2026-001
Issue Time (UTC)2026-11-15 15:42 UTC
Data Window2026-06-24 to 2026-10-10
SensorNISAR L-band GUNW, provisional
Quality ClassPROVISIONAL
ConfidenceMEDIUM
Versionv2.0
FormatA4 Operational Map Package
Peak Cumulative (LOS)
-2.4 cm
Vertical Est. (42.4°)
-3.3 cm
3-Ref Sensitivity
[-2.4, -2.4] cm LOS
Rate (cm / 100 days)
-2.2 cm/100d
Annualized est.: -8.2 cm/yr

Latest Pair & Cumulative Summary

  • Latest Consecutive Pair Step: -0.02 cm LOS (2026-09-28 to 2026-10-10 at p01: 6.450N 3.549E; cumulative at point: -2.44 cm)
  • Affected Population (GHSL GHS-POP E2025, 108d eq., ≥ 0.62 cm 2σ): 253,137 residents (< -2 cm), 3,528 residents across 2.50 km² (< -5 cm).

Top 3 Most-Subsiding Areas

Rank1 km Block Center (Lat, Lon)Cumulative LOSRate
#16.4502, 3.5495-2.44 cm-2.26 cm/100d
#26.6950, 3.2204-2.31 cm-2.14 cm/100d
#36.4314, 3.4836-2.09 cm-1.94 cm/100d

Top 5 At-Risk Infrastructure Segments

Infrastructure corridor ranking (OSM canal/road overlay) has not been computed for this regional subset yet.

GNSS Comparison & Calibration Status

Continuous GNSS time-series validation was not bundled for this regional subset.

Cumulative Displacement Map

Cumulative LOS displacement map for Lagos ending 2026-10-10
Cumulative LOS displacement (2026-06-24 to 2026-10-10, 8 NISAR L2 GUNW pairs).

What This Means

  • Ground in Lagos subsided up to -2.4 cm LOS (-2.2 cm/100d) between 2026-06-24 and 2026-10-10, consistent with active seasonal compaction.
  • About 253,137 residents live on ground sinking faster than 2 cm per 108 days (and 3,528 residents across 2.50 km2 faster than 5 cm per 108 days, above the 0.62 cm 2-sigma noise floor).
  • No local GNSS or canal-tilt overlay is bundled for this subset; field inspection and local piezometer records are needed to confirm infrastructure impacts.
Calibration & Quality Notice (PROVISIONAL): NISAR data are provisional. Calibration and validation are carried out by the NISAR project (NASA-JPL and ISRO), not by our team.
Sources: NASA-ISRO NISAR L2 GUNW (CRID P05023 via ASF DAAC); GHSL GHS-POP E2025 R2023A (JRC, CC BY 4.0); Nevada Geodetic Laboratory GNSS; OpenStreetMap (ODbL).