NISAR Vision Bulletin — Karapınar, Konya (Türkiye) — 2026-10-12

Atlas Rank #24 · Coverage: ok · 8 pairs
CONFIDENCE: LOW (indicative only) PROVISIONAL All Bulletins
Product IDNP-KARAPINAR-2026-001
Issue Time (UTC)2026-11-15 15:42 UTC
Data Window2026-06-26 to 2026-10-12
SensorNISAR L-band GUNW, provisional
Quality ClassPROVISIONAL
ConfidenceLOW (indicative only)
Versionv2.0
FormatA4 Operational Map Package
Peak Cumulative (LOS)
-5.9 cm
Vertical Est. (41.9°)
-8.0 cm
3-Ref Sensitivity
single reference window
Rate (cm / 100 days)
-5.5 cm/100d
Annualized est.: -20.0 cm/yr

Latest Pair & Cumulative Summary

  • Latest Consecutive Pair Step: -2.24 cm LOS (2026-09-30 to 2026-10-12 at p01: 2 km W of Karapınar; cumulative at point: -5.93 cm)
  • Affected Population (GHSL GHS-POP E2025, 108d eq., ≥ 0.65 cm 2σ): 23,424 residents (< -2 cm), 3,734 residents across 3.10 km² (< -5 cm).

Top 3 Most-Subsiding Areas

Rank1 km Block Center (Lat, Lon)Cumulative LOSRate
#137.7182, 33.5306-5.94 cm-5.50 cm/100d
#237.7448, 33.7905-2.57 cm-2.38 cm/100d
#337.6887, 33.7781-1.82 cm-1.68 cm/100d

Top 5 At-Risk Infrastructure Segments

Source: Infrastructure tilt ranking (assets.json)

#SegmentTypeLength (km)Tilt (mm/km)Max LOS (cm)Risk / Flag
1Konya - Adana Yolutrunk5.1534.50-6.034886 m to sinkhole
2Adana - Konya Yolutrunk5.1533.50-6.034869 m to sinkhole
3Konya Caddesisecondary1.4032.29-5.835982 m to sinkhole
4Unnamed secondary (osm:104381254)secondary1.2022.27-4.556155 m to sinkhole
542-42secondary9.4219.74-5.07597 m to sinkhole

GNSS Comparison & Calibration Status

Continuous GNSS time-series validation was not bundled for this regional subset.

Cumulative Displacement Map

Cumulative LOS displacement map for Karapınar, Konya (Türkiye) ending 2026-10-12
Cumulative LOS displacement (2026-06-26 to 2026-10-12, 8 NISAR L2 GUNW pairs).

What This Means

  • Peak measured ground motion in Karapınar, Konya (Türkiye) reached -5.9 cm LOS (-5.5 cm/100d) from 2026-06-26 to 2026-10-12, but low coverage or wide reference spread makes this an indicative estimate.
  • About 23,424 residents live on ground sinking faster than 2 cm per 108 days (and 3,734 residents across 3.10 km2 faster than 5 cm per 108 days, above the 0.65 cm 2-sigma noise floor).
  • Infrastructure screening flags Konya - Adana Yolu as the highest-differential segment in this footprint; pair satellite tracking with local leveling or groundwater head checks before field action.
Calibration & Quality Notice (PROVISIONAL): NISAR data are provisional. Calibration and validation are carried out by the NISAR project (NASA-JPL and ISRO), not by our team.
Sources: NASA-ISRO NISAR L2 GUNW (CRID P05023 via ASF DAAC); GHSL GHS-POP E2025 R2023A (JRC, CC BY 4.0); Nevada Geodetic Laboratory GNSS; OpenStreetMap (ODbL).