NISAR Vision Bulletin — Gorgan — 2026-10-19

Atlas Rank #16 · Coverage: ok · 9 pairs
CONFIDENCE: LOW (indicative only) PROVISIONAL All Bulletins
Product IDNP-GORGAN-2026-001
Issue Time (UTC)2026-11-15 15:42 UTC
Data Window2026-06-21 to 2026-10-19
SensorNISAR L-band GUNW, provisional
Quality ClassPROVISIONAL
ConfidenceLOW (indicative only)
Versionv2.0
FormatA4 Operational Map Package
Under revision (phase_cycle_jump): Automated time-series QC flagged this headline series for independent review — step 2 (2026-07-03→2026-07-15) = -10.26 cm ≈ one phase cycle (12.1 cm).
Peak Cumulative (LOS)
-34.6 cm
Vertical Est. (34.2°)
-41.8 cm
3-Ref Sensitivity
[-34.6, -13.8] cm LOS
Rate (cm / 100 days)
-28.8 cm/100d
Annualized est.: -105.2 cm/yr

Latest Pair & Cumulative Summary

  • Latest Consecutive Pair Step: -2.23 cm LOS (2026-10-07 to 2026-10-19 at p01: 36.593N 54.395E; cumulative at point: -34.65 cm)
  • Affected Population (GHSL GHS-POP E2025, 108d eq., ≥ 0.72 cm 2σ): 97,823 residents (< -2 cm), 87,983 residents across 354.64 km² (< -5 cm).

Top 3 Most-Subsiding Areas

Rank1 km Block Center (Lat, Lon)Cumulative LOSRate
#136.6025, 54.4183-32.90 cm-27.41 cm/100d
#236.6407, 54.4519-28.90 cm-24.08 cm/100d
#336.9892, 54.5338-25.48 cm-21.23 cm/100d

Top 5 At-Risk Infrastructure Segments

Infrastructure corridor ranking (OSM canal/road overlay) has not been computed for this regional subset yet.

GNSS Comparison & Calibration Status

Continuous GNSS time-series validation was not bundled for this regional subset.

Cumulative Displacement Map

Cumulative LOS displacement map for Gorgan ending 2026-10-19
Cumulative LOS displacement (2026-06-21 to 2026-10-19, 9 NISAR L2 GUNW pairs).

What This Means

  • Peak measured ground motion in Gorgan reached -34.6 cm LOS (-28.8 cm/100d) from 2026-06-21 to 2026-10-19, but low coverage or wide reference spread makes this an indicative estimate.
  • About 97,823 residents live on ground sinking faster than 2 cm per 108 days (and 87,983 residents across 354.64 km2 faster than 5 cm per 108 days, above the 0.72 cm 2-sigma noise floor).
  • No local GNSS or canal-tilt overlay is bundled for this subset; field inspection and local piezometer records are needed to confirm infrastructure impacts.
Calibration & Quality Notice (PROVISIONAL): NISAR data are provisional. Calibration and validation are carried out by the NISAR project (NASA-JPL and ISRO), not by our team.
Sources: NASA-ISRO NISAR L2 GUNW (CRID P05023 via ASF DAAC); GHSL GHS-POP E2025 R2023A (JRC, CC BY 4.0); Nevada Geodetic Laboratory GNSS; OpenStreetMap (ODbL).